Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.842540 3.280431 3.764330 4.338930 5.002957 5.746637 6.643349
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.333005 2.924841 3.635177 4.551411 5.703487 7.106282 8.947610
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.916432 2.582053 3.440523 4.630842 6.242373 8.354029 11.341051
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.582644 2.274000 3.224851 4.631533 6.666718 9.515589 13.826931
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.281489 1.950927 2.926455 4.456558 6.807237 10.300566 15.921561
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.046358 1.678732 2.649900 4.256389 6.863133 10.954335 17.917312
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.917971 1.546089 2.558822 4.318973 7.324188 12.286998 21.188129
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.783243 1.379374 2.384488 4.212768 7.484308 13.146854 23.808066
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.729455 1.340200 2.414605 4.455417 8.274210 15.186905 28.819712
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.669102 1.278892 2.395018 4.602796 8.910798 17.044006 33.798913
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.599627 1.189264 2.309309 4.610645 9.281286 18.454502 38.143823
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.514063 1.055242 2.119375 4.384692 9.154112 18.873658 40.552984
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.480657 1.023207 2.129743 4.575439 9.929027 21.275241 47.638757
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.456781 1.007429 2.171185 4.839330 10.906254 24.266874 56.579555
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.421795 0.962218 2.143840 4.949489 11.565500 26.680363 64.667827
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.383794 0.904265 2.079863 4.966461 12.015148 28.696518 72.199595
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.337313 0.819391 1.942275 4.788488 11.972453 29.552700 77.039614
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.295246 0.738415 1.801441 4.579109 11.815780 30.102250 81.190905
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.274513 0.706791 1.774496 4.650340 12.383748 32.562316 90.873249
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.246398 0.652087 1.682301 4.538195 12.452260 33.741252 97.270102
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.239435 0.651612 1.728231 4.801498 13.582709 37.949919 113.090065
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.228012 0.637378 1.735983 4.961554 14.453364 41.592240 127.968601
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.211296 0.605942 1.692749 4.970673 14.892002 44.082787 139.849160